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HSE University to Develop Predictive Analytics System for Icebreaker Motors

HSE University to Develop Predictive Analytics System for Icebreaker Motors

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Industrial automation is one of the key applications of artificial intelligence. A predictive analytics system for large electric motors is among the solutions being developed for the industry as part of HSE University’s Strategic Technological Project ‘Multi-Agent Platform of AI Solutions for Industry-Specific Tasks.’ What is predictive analytics, how can it improve the operation of electric motors, and what specialists joined forces to develop this technology? Anton Zarubin, Dean of the School of Computer Science, Physics, and Technology at HSE University–St Petersburg and the project development coordinator, explains in this interview with the HSE News Service.

Why We Need Predictive Analytics for Electric Motors

Predictive analytics is an important component of an electric motor’s control and maintenance systems.

It combines data from various sensors installed in the motor, such as temperature and vibration sensors, with mathematical algorithms that process this data. Using machine learning and AI techniques, the system can identify existing problems in the motor’s operation and predict potential failures before they occur. This approach makes it possible to use the motor’s service life more efficiently and reduce warranty and maintenance costs.

Anton Zarubin

Anton Zarubin

Predictive analytics systems can be used with electric motors of various sizes. The system we are developing is designed for large electric motors whose diameter can exceed a person’s height. These Russian-made motors are used by water utilities—at pumping stations, wastewater treatment plants, and other critical infrastructure facilities—as well as in water transport, including icebreakers. In both areas, ensuring technological sovereignty and strengthening Russia’s technological leadership are of particular importance.

A Quantum Leap in the Evolution of Industrial Automation

The team formed in spring 2026 to develop this product consists of about ten people, most of them employees of HSE University–St Petersburg. All team members have experience conducting research and implementing applied projects in industrial automation, telecommunications, and other fields, as well as working with industrial partners.

Our current partners include manufacturers of electric motors for the shipbuilding industry and the Russian Association of Water Supply and Sanitation. Both have expressed interest in our developments and their potential applications.

Industrial automation—a set of technologies that enable production processes to be controlled with minimal direct human involvement—has existed since the Soviet era. Today, however, the field is experiencing a quantum leap.

Its transformation is being driven not only by advances in AI and software but also by the adoption of cutting-edge engineering solutions. The predictive analytics system for electric motors that we are developing as part of the strategic technological project is just one of the areas in which these technologies can be applied.

Pilot AI Models and Test Bench

Our team has already developed models simulating the operation of an electric motor in a pumping unit under ideal conditions. A test bench has also been installed to collect data on electric motor performance, and the first dataset has been collected to train a predictive analytics model.

By the end of this year, we plan to develop AI models capable of detecting and classifying more than ten types of defects and predicting the remaining service life of electric motors. We also plan to create digital twins of electric motors and a prototype cloud-based monitoring platform with a web interface for engineers, capable of connecting up to 1,000 motors.

In October, we plan to complete the development of a pilot version of an AI-based predictive diagnostics system for large electric motors. The system is scheduled to be deployed at a test site in October, followed by pilot testing in November. Also in November, our work will be presented at the international AI Journey 2026 Conference. The presentation will focus on the AI hardware and software system for predictive diagnostics of large electric motors based on current-spectrum analysis.

Andrey Darkshevich

Andrey Darkshevich,
Deputy Director of the AI and Digital Science Institute at HSE FCS

'The predictive analytics project for electric motors is not only an advanced industrial solution but also a platform for integrating several applied research results developed at HSE University. This year, we are re-using our Predict Core predictive analytics platform. Danil Shvetsov is leading the project to develop a system for visualising monitoring results and supporting engineering decision-making.

In the future, we could potentially incorporate technologies developed as part of the Strategic Technological Project ‘Trusted 6G Communication Systems Technology Suite’ to enable remote monitoring of equipment status.

The predictive diagnostics system for large electric motors is being developed as part of the Strategic Technological Project (STP) ‘Multi-Agent Platform of AI Solutions for Industry-Specific Tasks.’ The strategic technological projects are part of HSE University’s Development Programme for 2025–2036, which won the  Priority 2030 strategic academic leadership competition.

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